Thursday, November 29, 2007

Delta's Drama Kings

Sometimes things aren't what they appear to be.

In an official announcement yesterday, Delta Airlines said that current President Ed Bastian will retain the CFO title, which effectively cancels previous plans to hire a new CFO. That was the official line along with some corporate speak about "seamlessly maintaining relationships and momentum..." Whatever.

Here's another take based on a leadership truth that often gets shoved aside.

According to sources familiar with the situation, Bastian and CEO Richard Anderson have developed a strong personal dislike of one another. No big surprise there, taking into account the original chain of events that led to Anderson's hiring. But since the personal dislike factor can't be applied specifically to a news context it gets dismissed as normal vagaries of the executive suite.

Anyone following this company would be wise to watch closely how this personal riff plays out with personnel and business decisions. We often learn a lot more from human behavior managing a company than events perceived as materially consequential to the business. Then there's the irony, which every rich story contains. CEO Anderson is reportedly more operations inclined while the "brain" and main strategist from the original team, Jim Whitehurst, left the building awhile back. Whitehurst is rumored to be the next CEO of RedHat in Raleigh, N.C., but we can't confirm that to be true. Look for Bastian to leave early next year if things don't improve.

As to rumors of a Northwest merger, well, it doesn't make a lot of business sense. But according to our own stated rule, that probably doesn't mean much in the high stakes deal making world. The board is clearly consolidating its view around what comes next. Guess we'll just have to stay tuned for now.

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Monday, November 05, 2007

Merger of Two Unequal?

A little rationale sense would go a long way in explaining the current carnage at Citigroup and Merrill Lynch. So would some humor. Unfortunately neither is in current supply.

Before we try to insert any, here's an idea: Merge the two unequal on their way down. Or better yet, invite Bank of America to make bids on Merrill and then merge the combined entity with Citigroup. Mother Merrill always wanted to be the world's largest bank so why not give them their chance? If the supermarket approach to banking can really work, then this chain of events would quickly reveal the strategy's viability. Otherwise it's time for an alternative preferably one without interim CEOs or what http://www.breakingviews.com/ calls "need for a plumber." Sorry, but the last time that term was used in such a high profile story was when a few rogues were breaking into Watergate.

What we don't know or can't seem to figure out is why Merrill and Citigroup would act so rashly without a clear successor or even candidates in waiting to take over from O'Neal and Prince, respectively. It's not entirely explainable by lack of succession planning although that's clearly a rationale reason worth reporting.

So is the involvement of former Treasury Secretary, newly installed Chairman Robert Rubin who will now lead an effort to find a new CEO at Citi. There's only one slight problem. He fully endorsed Prince's strategy and doesn't seem to think anything is wrong about the current direction. Okay, fine. But then why push Prince to resign? To satisfy a few investment crazies mad about sub-prime? Aren't boards supposed to stand up to pressure and present continuity vs. desperation?

If anyone thinks Rubin is the type of guy who will roll up his sleeves to get a solution in place, then they need to go back and read Ken Auletta's list of works more closely. But wait. It gets better. According to The Wall Street Journal, the only other person on the Citi board with banking experience is Dick Parsons, current head of Time Warner who used to run a small investment firm earlier in his career. Sorry, but we don't think the Cable Guy qualifies as a handpicker of talent to rescue a structured investment mess. Not to mention the overseer of his own semi-failed strategy. Where's Carl Icahn when you need him?

Meanwhile, the Merrill board is probably letting out some cigar air somewhere praying that they'll stay out of the fray. But that's wishful thinking. Their board is even more in-bred and will have a hard time convincing anyone qualified for the CEO position that they'll step aside for the right person.

Both of these major institutions have dropped the ball. And since it's football and CEO turnover season, it's a safe bet that their fumble will stay live on the ground for awhile.

Perhaps the high heeled boys of Wall Street could take a cue from their burger, fries and shake brethren at McDonald's? Now there's a succession success story. Not even death of a leader could stop this brand from marching onward and upward.

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