Thursday, January 08, 2009

5-boards to watch in full

Recent firings kick off a new year of CEO turnover, which will trend higher in 2009.

What the high profile examples nearly always overlook is how these decisions are made and where they're made. How is debatable but usually boils down to an essential: trust and confidence, or lack thereof. Once a CEO loses this essential, he or she generally is fired. Where is at the board level, which remains a largely misunderstood world despite clamors for better governance that never really produce more transparency. We're not even going there on the ratings agencies.

To help illustrate these points further, we decided to pull out five major brand names from the Fortune 500: GM, GE, Apple, Dow Chemical and Home Depot. Here's a rundown:

GM (General Motors) remains the most obvious example mired in the mud. Either the company finds a way to make it through, or it's time to call it a Ch. 11 day and start over by shaking up the slate, starting with current CEO Rick Wagoner. Six months ago, the GM board led by retired Kodak Chairman George Fisher appeared a lot more transparent than they do now. Then again consider government bailouts and who currently fills the board: Six retired hands (counting former Coke CEO Neville Isdell who, note to web guru, turned over the day-to-day reins at Coke last year), nine "chairmen" (some count both ways) and two higher education figures, Erskine Bowles and Erroll Davis. Only two members are listed as active CEOs. Here's the line-up: http://www.gm.com/corporate/investor_information/corp_gov/board.jsp. Note: Board members Katen and Codina also serve on Home Depot's board.

GE (General Electric) is a classic representation of lost trust and confidence that hasn't found a place to land yet. Due to a host of complexities, current Chairman and CEO Jeffrey Immelt gets a long leash while the company attempts to right the course. Yes, the share price continues to lag and quarters have been blown. But worse than actual results has been an inability to convince investors that what is being done will ultimately reverse the trajectory. 2009 will be a make or break year for Immelt. Or else the GE handbooks on leadership and succession will need to be burned. They're a performance culture first. "Imagination at work" or whatever the latest branding says won't cut it unless the numbers improve. Plain and simple. Even the CNBC apologists can't change this reality. Following is GE's board of directors: http://www.ge.com/company/leadership/directors.html.Note: Avon CEO Andrea Jung serves on both GE and Apple boards.

It's a little better in iPod land from a performance point of view. But not necessarily at the board level. Apple has been forced out publicly recently with the hormone imbalance admission by Steve Jobs, which hardly quelled speculation that he will need to be replaced. For a board filled with high powered names such as Gore, Wexler, Jung and Schmidt, Apple's slate leaves a lot to be desired in the area of succession, which is arguably a board's first or second largest responsibility. Yes, we know Jobs is an icon and only he (or God) will decide his ultimate fate. But that doesn't negate a stronger need to show investors what the post-Jobs era will resemble. For every day that they obfuscate this issue, the board loses credibility and founder's syndrome takes deeper hold. Here's their latest attempt to quell speculation: http://www.apple.com/pr/library/2009/01/05bod.html.

Similar to Apple, Dow Chemical's leadership is making headlines these days via a bet the farm growth strategy during a time when everything is up in the air. Including what supposedly was going to be a cash infusion from a joint venture originating in Kuwait. This follows deep cuts to operations including headcount reduction and various plant closings late last year. Current Dow CEO Andrew Liveris has some explaining to do on the company's next conference call with investors. Look for the call script to be perfect, board support to remain steadfast and the company to then take a nose dive, assuming the strategy doesn't pay off. These also are the same guys, by the way, who had to stop an attempted power play among two subordinate executives, which tried to negotiate a merger without telling anyone. Current JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon was reportedly in on those talks but gets a pass. At least for now. Last fall's credit crisis can only provide cover for so long. That was then, this is now. For a listing of Dow's slate, go to http://www.dow.com/corpgov/leader/board.htm.

Finally there's home improvement category killer, Home Depot, which finds itself in a tough, go it alone spot. They've cut costs, gotten a lot of credit (the goodwill variety) for doing so yet still face probably the worst market in company history. Current CEO Frank Blake receives unanimously high marks for his yeoman work managing the downturn. But he's not the guy to lead the next era of growth. The minute any bottom is found in housing and the company's financials improve, there will be clamor for a more growth oriented CEO. We may be a bit older by the time that happens but it will happen. Look for a new management regime either by year's end or when the market turns. Whichever comes first. This decision will not come easily nor publicly. Last year's departure of Ken Langone leaves a major influential void on the company's board. For a listing of current directors go to: http://ir.homedepot.com/directors.cfm. Directors Katen and Codina also serve on the GM board.

Note to Home Depot PR who may now be reading more closely: We have been consistent with this view since last year -- see http://povblogger.blogspot.com/2008/02/mr-non-fix-it.html. But thanks for checking in. We always welcome new readers.


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